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Probability to Odds Converter (Odds For, Odds Against, 1 in N)

Probability to odds and back — odds in favour, odds against, fractional and decimal forms, and '1 in N'.

Inputs

Odds in favour
0.3333 : 1

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What each Probability to Odds input means

Convert
Probability → odds, or odds → probability.
Probability (0–1)
A probability between 0 and 1, exclusive: 0.25 for 25%, 0.6 for 60%. Divide a percentage by 100 first.
Decimal odds
Odds in favour as a single number — successes per failure. 3 : 1 in favour is 3; odds of 5 : 1 against are 1 : 5 in favour, so enter 0.2.

Probability to Odds conversion formula

odds in favour = p ÷ (1 − p) · odds against = (1 − p) ÷ p · p = odds ÷ (1 + odds) · '1 in N' means p = 1 ÷ N

odds=p1−pp=odds1+odds\text{odds} = \frac{p}{1 - p} \qquad p = \frac{\text{odds}}{1 + \text{odds}}

Probability and odds say the same thing in different units. A probability is the share of trials that succeed: 0.25 means one success in four trials. Odds compare successes with failures: one success against three failures, 1 : 3 in favour or 3 : 1 against. So odds in favour are p ÷ (1 − p), and to go back, p = odds ÷ (1 + odds). The two are close for rare events — a 1% chance is odds of 0.0101 — and far apart for likely ones: an 80% chance is odds of 4 : 1 in favour. Bookmakers quote odds against, so '3/1' means a 25% implied chance; the page shows that form too, plus the plain '1 in N' that news reports use.

Probability to Odds conversion worked example

A 25% chance: p ÷ (1 − p) = 0.25 ÷ 0.75 = 0.3333, so the odds in favour are 1 : 3 and the odds against are 3 : 1 — one success for every three failures, or 1 in 4. Going the other way, odds of 3 : 1 in favour are p = 3 ÷ (1 + 3) = 0.75, a 75% chance.

More Probability to Odds examples

A 60% chance of rain: 0.6 ÷ 0.4 = 1.5, so the odds in favour are 1.5 : 1 — three wet days for every two dry ones — and the odds against are 0.6667 : 1.

A horse at 5/1 against is 1 : 5 in favour, odds of 0.2: the implied probability is 0.2 ÷ 1.2 = 16.6667%, or 1 in 6 — before the bookmaker's margin is taken out.

Where the Probability to Odds converter can give the wrong answer

  • Probabilities of exactly 0 or 1 have no finite odds (0 ÷ 1 = 0 and 1 ÷ 0 is undefined), so the page takes values strictly between them.
  • 'Odds' in everyday speech usually means odds against — 'the odds are 3 to 1' means a 25% chance — while statistics texts define odds in favour. The page labels both so there is no guessing.
  • Bookmakers' odds include a margin, so the implied probabilities across all outcomes add to more than 100%. Converting a quoted price gives the bookmaker's implied chance, not a true one.
  • Odds ratios in medical papers compare two sets of odds; they are not the odds of one event and cannot be turned into a probability with this page alone.
  • Decimal odds in betting (e.g. 4.00) are payout per unit staked including the stake, so decimal odds = 1 ÷ p, which is one more than the odds against. The page shows that figure on the bookmaker line.

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Probability to Odds conversion reference table

Common probabilities as odds
ProbabilityOdds in favourOdds againstDecimal (betting) odds
1%1 : 9999 : 1100
5%1 : 1919 : 120
10%1 : 99 : 110
20%1 : 44 : 15
25%1 : 33 : 14
33.3%1 : 22 : 13
50%1 : 1 (evens)1 : 12
60%3 : 22 : 31.67
75%3 : 11 : 31.33
80%4 : 11 : 41.25
90%9 : 11 : 91.11
Source: Arithmetic: odds in favour = p ÷ (1 − p); decimal odds = 1 ÷ p, with no bookmaker's margin

Probability to Odds conversion FAQ

Divide the probability by one minus the probability. 0.2 ÷ 0.8 = 0.25, so a 20% chance is odds of 1 : 4 in favour, or 4 : 1 against. For a percentage, use the decimal: 60% is 0.6 ÷ 0.4 = 1.5 : 1.