Probability to Odds Converter (Odds For, Odds Against, 1 in N)
Probability to odds and back — odds in favour, odds against, fractional and decimal forms, and '1 in N'.
Inputs
- Working
- p ÷ (1 − p) = 0.25 ÷ 0.75 = 0.3333
- Probability
- 25.00% — 1 in 4
- Odds against
- 3 : 1
- Bookmaker-style (fractional, against)
- 3/1 — decimal 4
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What each Probability to Odds input means
- Convert
- Probability → odds, or odds → probability.
- Probability (0–1)
- A probability between 0 and 1, exclusive: 0.25 for 25%, 0.6 for 60%. Divide a percentage by 100 first.
- Decimal odds
- Odds in favour as a single number — successes per failure. 3 : 1 in favour is 3; odds of 5 : 1 against are 1 : 5 in favour, so enter 0.2.
Probability to Odds conversion formula
odds in favour = p ÷ (1 − p) · odds against = (1 − p) ÷ p · p = odds ÷ (1 + odds) · '1 in N' means p = 1 ÷ N
Probability and odds say the same thing in different units. A probability is the share of trials that succeed: 0.25 means one success in four trials. Odds compare successes with failures: one success against three failures, 1 : 3 in favour or 3 : 1 against. So odds in favour are p ÷ (1 − p), and to go back, p = odds ÷ (1 + odds). The two are close for rare events — a 1% chance is odds of 0.0101 — and far apart for likely ones: an 80% chance is odds of 4 : 1 in favour. Bookmakers quote odds against, so '3/1' means a 25% implied chance; the page shows that form too, plus the plain '1 in N' that news reports use.
Probability to Odds conversion worked example
A 25% chance: p ÷ (1 − p) = 0.25 ÷ 0.75 = 0.3333, so the odds in favour are 1 : 3 and the odds against are 3 : 1 — one success for every three failures, or 1 in 4. Going the other way, odds of 3 : 1 in favour are p = 3 ÷ (1 + 3) = 0.75, a 75% chance.
More Probability to Odds examples
A 60% chance of rain: 0.6 ÷ 0.4 = 1.5, so the odds in favour are 1.5 : 1 — three wet days for every two dry ones — and the odds against are 0.6667 : 1.
A horse at 5/1 against is 1 : 5 in favour, odds of 0.2: the implied probability is 0.2 ÷ 1.2 = 16.6667%, or 1 in 6 — before the bookmaker's margin is taken out.
Where the Probability to Odds converter can give the wrong answer
- Probabilities of exactly 0 or 1 have no finite odds (0 ÷ 1 = 0 and 1 ÷ 0 is undefined), so the page takes values strictly between them.
- 'Odds' in everyday speech usually means odds against — 'the odds are 3 to 1' means a 25% chance — while statistics texts define odds in favour. The page labels both so there is no guessing.
- Bookmakers' odds include a margin, so the implied probabilities across all outcomes add to more than 100%. Converting a quoted price gives the bookmaker's implied chance, not a true one.
- Odds ratios in medical papers compare two sets of odds; they are not the odds of one event and cannot be turned into a probability with this page alone.
- Decimal odds in betting (e.g. 4.00) are payout per unit staked including the stake, so decimal odds = 1 ÷ p, which is one more than the odds against. The page shows that figure on the bookmaker line.
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Probability to Odds conversion reference table
| Probability | Odds in favour | Odds against | Decimal (betting) odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1% | 1 : 99 | 99 : 1 | 100 |
| 5% | 1 : 19 | 19 : 1 | 20 |
| 10% | 1 : 9 | 9 : 1 | 10 |
| 20% | 1 : 4 | 4 : 1 | 5 |
| 25% | 1 : 3 | 3 : 1 | 4 |
| 33.3% | 1 : 2 | 2 : 1 | 3 |
| 50% | 1 : 1 (evens) | 1 : 1 | 2 |
| 60% | 3 : 2 | 2 : 3 | 1.67 |
| 75% | 3 : 1 | 1 : 3 | 1.33 |
| 80% | 4 : 1 | 1 : 4 | 1.25 |
| 90% | 9 : 1 | 1 : 9 | 1.11 |
Probability to Odds conversion FAQ
- Divide the probability by one minus the probability. 0.2 ÷ 0.8 = 0.25, so a 20% chance is odds of 1 : 4 in favour, or 4 : 1 against. For a percentage, use the decimal: 60% is 0.6 ÷ 0.4 = 1.5 : 1.
- Odds in favour ÷ (1 + odds). Odds of 2 : 1 in favour are 2 ÷ 3 = 66.7%. If the odds are quoted against, flip them first: 5 : 1 against is 1 : 5 in favour, so 1 ÷ 6 = 16.7%.
- Probability counts successes out of all trials; odds count successes against failures. A coin flip is probability ½ and odds 1 : 1 (even). They agree in ranking — higher probability, higher odds — but not in size.
- Fractional betting odds are odds against: 3/1 means three failures for each success, an implied 25% chance; 5/2 means 2.5 : 1 against, about 28.6%. Enter the odds against as a decimal (2.5) in the odds → probability mode, or flip them to odds in favour first.
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